Haiti I - EP 3

Duration: 13-Oct-1993 to 06-May-1994

Following the obstruction of the arrival of UN peacekeepers (UNMIH) on 11 October 1993 (mentioned in UNSCR 873), and the assassination of Aristide government officials in Haiti (mentioned in UNSCR 875), the UN terminated the suspension of sanctions. UNSCR 873 reapplied the oil and arms embargos, but allowed the frozen government funds to be released at the request of President Aristide or Prime Minister Malval for use by the legitimately elected government. UNSCR 875 legitimated interdiction on the high seas, as necessary to enforce the sanctions. (It was not a UN-authorized naval blockade, as widely reported in the secondary literature).

The Haitian Parliament proposed ways to break the impasse in implementing the GIA in February 1994 (the mini-plan), but the proposals were rejected by Aristide. Aristide gave a six-month notice of termination of Haiti's repatriation treaty with the US (which would make it more difficult for the US return political refugees) and the Clinton administration was subject to increased pressure on from the Congressional Black Caucus during the period.


Coerce

Coerce the military to restore the legitimate government of Aristide; comply with the Governor's Island Agreement; allow the deployment of UNMIH.

Constrain

Constrain the government leadership (the de factos) from committing acts of violence against Aristide government representatives and from being able to govern the country (through the financial and oil sanctions).

Signal

Signal the Cédras regime and the rest of the world about the importance of the norm of democratic governance.


Mandatory

Re-imposition of previously suspended arms imports embargo on government forces, petroleum imports ban, and government asset freeze (on the de factos).

Newly imposed asset transfer authorization with regards to the frozen funds at the request of President Aristide or Prime Minister Malval.


No individual targets specified.


Potential scope of impact

High

UN sanctions are likely to have significant impacts on the general population, since they include restrictions on the import of widely used commodities (such as oil), major commodity exports, and/or the transportation or financial sectors that affect the entire economy.


Sanctions (re-)imposition was deliberately delayed by 5 days. Sanctions Committee in place, no sanctions monitoring mechanism. Enforcement authorities not specified.


Coercion

Ineffective

Policy outcome

Cédras agreed to Parliamentary proposal for resolving the impasse between the de factos and the Aristide government on February 19, but his motives were suspect.

Sanctions contribution

Re-imposition of sanctions is important but not the only major initiative during the period (Friends of the SG on Haiti, SG involvement (3 reports), and unilateral measures from the US.

Constraint

Effective

Policy outcome

The de factos were not prevented from committing violence against their opponents in Haiti, but the increasing costs of sanctions overall affected the ability of the Cédras regime to constitute a viable government; the regime was able to use sanctions to insulate themselves and pass costs on to the population.

Sanctions contribution

Sanctions appear to have been the principal source of constraint on the ability to govern.

Signaling

Effective

Policy outcome

Norm was articulated about the return of Aristide and strong stigmatization due to re-imposition of sanctions.

Sanctions contribution

Diplomatic initiatives underway at this time also conveyed a strong signal to the regime.

Overall

Mixed

Strengthening of authoritarian rule, rally round the flag effect, increase in human rights violations, strengthening of political factions, widespread harmful economic consequences, increase in corruption and criminality, humanitarian consequences, reduction of local institutional capacity.


13-10-1993

Substantive

  • Terminates UNSCR 861 suspension of UNSCR 841 arms imports embargo, petroleum imports ban, and financial asset freeze.
  • Authorizes asset transfer of frozen funds at request of President Aristide or Prime Minister Malval of Haiti.
  • Adds exemption to asset freeze at request of President Aristide or Prime Minister Malval of Haiti (pending Committee approval).

Procedural

  • Delays termination of sanctions suspension (5 days).

16-10-1993

Substantive

  • Calls for MS UNSCR 841 sanctions implementation, including cargo inspection and verification.