Iran - EP 3

Duration: 03-Mar-2008 to 09-Jun-2010

Following the IAEA’s February 2008 report noting progress with Iran over the nuclear issue, the E3+3 repackaged the June 2006 proposal for comprehensive negotiations, emphasizing the benefits to Iran of a long-term agreement on its nuclear program (transmitted 14 June 2008 to Iran). The Council encouraged resolution of all outstanding issues with the IAEA and adopted UNSCR 1803 (3 March 2008) imposing a travel ban, expanding the list of prohibited proliferation-sensitive materials, and adding 25 names to the list of targeted individuals and entities. Security Council support of the sanctions, however, was somewhat weakened with the abstention of Indonesia and reservations of South Africa and others that progress had not been adequately reflected and that the IAEA was the appropriate forum to address the issues, not the UNSC. With no monitoring mechanism in place, there was little UN focus on implementation and enforcement, but the US continued to ratchet up pressure with its effort to encourage other countries to adopt financial sanctions on Iran.

On 21 September 2009, Iran disclosed to the IAEA the existence of an underground uranium enrichment facility near the city of Qom, after the site became known to Western intelligence services. Iran argued its disclosure was consistent with its IAEA legal obligations, but the IAEA maintained it was required to declare the facility as soon as Iran made the decision to build it. The revelation deepened suspicion surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions and resulted in unsuccessful E3+3 talks in Geneva in October 2009.

On 9 February 2010, Iran announced that it would produce uranium enriched to up to 20% for a medical research reactor, and two days later President Ahmadinejad declared that Iran was a "nuclear state." IAEA officials confirmed it enriched uranium "up to 19.8%” and released a report the same month detailing Iran's potential for producing a nuclear weapon, including further fuel enrichment and plans for developing a missile-ready warhead.

In an effort to break the impasse, Brazil and Turkey initiated negotiations with Iran to send low-enriched uranium to Turkey in return for enriched fuel for a research reactor, resulting in the “Tehran declaration of 17 May 2010.” The P5 dismissed the Iranian response as too little too late.


Coerce

Coerce Iran to suspend its nuclear activities and comply with IAEA requirements.

Constrain

Constrain Iran’s access to sensitive technologies in support of its nuclear and missile programs.

Signal

Signal support for non-proliferation norms, specifically NPT and the role of the IAEA in monitoring Iran’s nuclear program.


Mandatory

Ongoing sanctions:
  • Individual / entity asset freeze;
  • Arms exports embargo.
Adjustments to ongoing sanctions:
  • Proliferation sensitive goods and technology imports and exports ban (updated list of prohibited items).
Newly imposed sanctions:
  • Travel ban.

Maximum number of designees during the episode: travel ban - 5 individual designees; asset freeze - 40 individuals and 35 entities.


Potential scope of impact

Medium

UN sanctions can have some non-discriminating impact on the general population, since they include arms embargoes, diplomatic sanctions, and/or restrictions on the conduct of particular activities or the export of specific commodities.


Sanctions Committee in place, no sanctions monitoring mechanism. Designation criteria were specified and targets designated. Enforcement authorities specified.


Coercion

Ineffective

Policy outcome

Iran remained engaged with the IAEA, but no substantial concessions were made.

Sanctions contribution

Sanctions and diplomatic pressure reinforced IAEA negotiations with Iran.

Constraint

Ineffective

Policy outcome

Indications of increasing difficulties by Iranian traders in obtaining financing.

Sanctions contribution

US unilateral measures and strong pressure on other countries to adopt financial sanctions, as well as EU pressure, appeared most significant.

Signaling

Mixed

Policy outcome

Norm against proliferation was articulated in the UNSCR, but the signal was weakened slightly by the reservations over the imposition of additional sanctions after progress in the negotiations.

Sanctions contribution

Because initial progress in negotiations was followed by a “rush to sanctions,” the legitimacy of the UNSC role in reinforcing the norm (by imposing sanctions) was weakened; IAEA negotiations were also underway.

Overall

Ineffective

Insufficient information available at present.


03-03-2008

Substantive

  • Imposes travel ban (Annex II and subsequent SC or Committee designations) and specifies humanitarian and religious exemptions (pending Committee approval) and travel for activities directly related to equipment covered by B.1 when such equipment is for light water reactors and low-enriched uranium covered by A.1.2 when it is incorporated in assembled nuclear fuel elements for such reactors.
  • Imposes UNSCR 1737 financial asset freeze on new designees (Annex I and III).
  • Expands proliferation sensitive goods and technology imports ban by imposing prohibition on supply, sale, or transfer to Iran, or for its benefit, of all items, materials, equipment, goods and technology set out in 19.A.3 of Category II of document s/2006/815 and in INFCIRC/254/Rev.7/Part 2 of document S/2006/814 (except as specified by UNSCR 1737 and notified in advance).
  • Delineates designation criteria.
  • Delineates criteria for sanctions suspension and termination.
  • Calls upon MS to exercise vigilance regarding travel of individuals supporting, associated with, or engaged in proscribed activities.
  • Calls upon MS to exercise vigilance in entering into new commitments for public provided financial support for trade with Iran, including granting of export credits, guarantees or insurance, to their nationals or entities involved in such trade.
  • Calls upon MS to exercise vigilance regarding activities of financial institutions in their territories with banks domiciled in Iran, in particular with Bank Melli and Bank Saderat, their branches and subsidiaries.
  • Calls for inspection of cargo to and from Iran owned or operated by Iran Air Cargo and Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Line if reasonable grounds for sanctions violation.

Procedural

  • Calls for MS reporting.
  • Requires MS reporting upon inspection.
  • Requires MS notification of travel of individuals subject to asset freeze and additional designated individuals (Annex I, Annex I UNSCR 1747, Annex UNSCR 1737, and subsequent designations).